ATP Toronto Best Bets Including Shapovalov vs Tien

ATP Masters 1000 Toronto 1/32-Finals

Shapovalov – Tien: 30.07.2025 01:00 CEST

H2H: first meeting

Denis Shapovalov has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, Shapovalov had a great run, winning the title. He has not dropped a single set throughout the tournament.

Learner Tien has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, Tien lost to Davidovich Fokina in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This week in Toronto, the American defeated Smith in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Tien served well throughout the match.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Shapovalov is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Tien is in great form and is one of the most significant upcoming talents. On the other hand, Shapovalov struggled with his form the whole season, except for the last week. We expect Tien to keep this match tight.

That being said, Tien covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Learner Tien +2.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365

Schoolkate – Arnaldi: 29.07.2025 23:00 CEST

H2H: first meeting

Tristan Schoolkate has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Los Cabos, Schoolkate lost against Shapovalov in the quarterfinals. This week in Toronto, the Australian qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, Schoolkate defeated Nanda in straight sets. He upset Fonseca in the opening main draw round, winning in straight sets.

Matteo Arnaldi has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, the Italian lost to Fritz in the 1/8-Finals.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Schoolkate is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played his best tennis so far in Toronto. On the other hand, Arnaldi struggled with his form for the past few weeks. We expect a tight match that could go either way.

That being said, Schoolkate covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Tristan Schoolkate +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365

Arseneault – Popyrin: 29.07.2025 20:00 CEST

H2H: first meeting

Nicolas Arseneault has won three of his last five matches. Ranked outside the top 600, the Canadian has been granted a wild card this week in Toronto. In the opening round, Arseneault upset Royer in straight sets. Even while losing his serve four times, he still found a way in his return game to close out the match.

Alexei Popyrin has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Washington, the Australian lost to Wu in the opening round in three tight sets.

Best Bet to Make

According to the bookies, Popyrin is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Arseneault had a favourable opening round draw and made the most of it. However, he is still an ITF-level player, and we expect him to struggle against Popyrin. The Australian struggled with his form lately, but he is still a dangerous player.

That being said, Popyrin covering the games handicap is a value bet.

Value bet/ the best odds: Alexei Popyrin -5.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365

Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

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