Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats

The Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats were curated by Senior Staff Nerd Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the Week 3 Preview!

Advance Stat of the Week | EXP RUN %

This week’s advanced stat is EXP RUN % – the percentage of a running back’s rush attempts that gain 15+ yards. This metric is valuable for fantasy because it highlights explosiveness: backs who can rip off chunk plays every time they touch the ball. Importantly, this measures runs only, not receptions.

Through two games, among RBs with at least 15 carries, 6 of the top 12 in EXP RUN % are current RB1s. Notable names include Derrick Henry, Travis Etienne, and Bijan Robinson, all of whom have flashed big-play ability early in the season.

On the flip side, some RB1s don’t have a single 15+ yard run yet, such as Christian McCaffrey, Chuba Hubbard, and Jaylen Warren. With McCaffrey and Warren, this isn’t overly concerning given their heavy involvement in the passing game. Hubbard, however, is a more interesting case—his lack of explosiveness on the ground could make him a potential sell-high candidate if his receiving usage doesn’t increase.

Two RB1s stand out near the very top of the EXP RUN % leaderboard: Kenneth Walker (2nd) and Breece Hall (4th). Walker’s situation remains a bit tricky with Zach Charbonnet siphoning touches, but Hall looks like a strong buy-low target given his clear home-run rushing ability.

These advanced player stats for Week 3 offer deeper insights into Start/Sit decisions at QB, RB, WR, and TE. Use these metrics alongside Dynasty Nerds’ Week 3 Waiver Wire article, Week 3 Trade Advice, and our All-in-One Weekly Content hub to optimize your lineups.

Below in each dropdown are the full Week 3 Team Stats powered by Fantasy Points Data Suite. Use these metrics to make informed Start/Sit lineup calls.

Thursday Night Football | 8:15 PM

Miami Dolphins (0-2) @ Buffalo Bills (2-0)

Buffalo Bills are favored (-13.5) with an Over/Under of 49.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Tua Tagovailoa averages less than 200 passing yards and not even a passing touchdown in 4 career games on TNF.

Josh Allen career average vs MIA is 266 passing yards and 2.6 pass touchdowns per contest.

Team Stats | Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats

Week 4 Defensive Team Stats — Start/Sit Reference

Advanced QB Stats | Week 3 Starts & Sits

Week 4 Advanced QB Stats — Start/Sit Decisions

Use these advanced quarterback stats to guide your Week 4 start/sit lineup decisions.

Advanced RB Stats | Week 3 Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Week 3 Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Sunday Football | 1:00 PM

Green Bay Packers (2-0) @ Cleveland Browns (0-2)

Green Bay Packers are favored (-8.5) with an Over/Under of 42.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Josh Jacobs ranks 21st in YBCO (yards before contact per attempt, min. 15 carries) and now faces a Browns defense allowing the fewest YBCO per attempt (-0.36). With little room to run, Jacobs likely needs a touchdown to stay fantasy relevant this week.

Team Stats | Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Indianapolis Colts (2-0) @ Tennessee Titans (0-2)

Indianapolis Colts are favored (-3.5) with an Over/Under of 43.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Josh Downs could be a sneaky Week 3 play, ranking 9th in win rate vs. zone (18.8%). He faces a Titans defense that uses zone coverage on 71.4% of snaps (14th-highest), giving him a matchup that fits his skill set.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Week 3 Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Cincinnati Bengals (2-0) @ Minnesota Vikings (1-1)

Minnesota Vikings are favored (-3.5) with an Over/Under of 41.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

T.J. Hockenson currently ranks 50th in TPRR (.17), but that could change with Carson Wentz under center. He faces the Bengals, who have allowed the fifth-most targets to tight ends this season.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) @ New England Patriots (1-1)

Pittsburgh Steelers are favored (-1.5) with an Over/Under of 44.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Aaron Rodgers is looking for a comeback in Week 3 as he faces the Patriots, who have allowed the most passing yards this season (667 yards).

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Week 3 Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Los Angles Rams (2-0) @ Philadelphia Eagles (2-0)

Philadelphia Eagles are favored (-3.5) with an Over/Under of 45.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Kyren Williams could be in for a tough day, ranking 45th in missed tackles forced per attempt (0.09) and facing an Eagles defense that has allowed the second-fewest missed tackles per attempt (1.0). His efficiency after contact may be limited.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Week 3 Start/Sit

New York Jets (0-2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored (-6.5) with an Over/Under of 44.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Mike Evans draws a tough Week 3 matchup against Sauce Gardner, but his 54.6% win rate vs. man coverage gives him a fighting chance. The Jets run man coverage at the 6th-highest rate this season, so don’t be surprised if Tampa Bay schemes Evans into motion to create mismatches.

Team Stats | Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Las Vegas Raiders (1-1) @ Washington Commanders (1-1)

Washington Commanders are favored (-5.5) with an Over/Under of 46.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3 Start/Sit

Rookie Ashton Jeanty has struggled to start his career, averaging just 2.03 YACO per attempt. This week, he faces the Commanders, who rank 7th best in limiting yards after contact per attempt (1.79 YACO allowed). It could be another rough outing for the rookie.

Team Stats QB Player Stats Week 3 Stats for RB Start/Sit Week 3 Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Atlanta Falcons (1-1) @ Carolina Panthers (0-2)

Atlanta Falcons are favored (-3.5) with an Over/Under of 43.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Kyle Pitts has 1 career touchdown against the Panthers.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Houston Texans (0-2) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1)

Jacksonville Jaguars are favored (-1.5) with an Over/Under of 44.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Nico Collins has 3-straight games with 100+ receiving yards vs. the Jaguars.

Travis Etienne has topped 60 all-purpose yards in all 6 career games vs. the Texans.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Player Stats for RBs Week 3 Start/Sit Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Sunday Football | 4:05 PM / 4:25 PM

Denver Broncos (1-1) @ Los Angeles Chargers (2-0)

Los Angeles Chargers are favored (-2.5) with an Over/Under of 45.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Courtland Sutton has been held under 65 receiving yards in 7 straight games vs. the Chargers.

Keenan Allen has averaged 72 receiving yards over his last 6 games vs. the Broncos.

Team Stats | Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats Statistical Quarterback Advice Week 3 Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

New Orleans Saints (0-2) @ Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

Seattle Seahawks are favored (-7.5) with an Over/Under of 41.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Alvin Kamara is set up for a strong rushing week. The Saints run the 12th-most zone carries this year, and Kamara is averaging 4.79 YPC on zone concepts. He now faces a Seahawks defense that has surrendered the 8th-most yards to zone runs (109), giving him a favorable matchup to exploit.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Wide Receiver Week 3 Start/Sit Stats Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Dallas Cowboys (1-1) @ Chicago Bears (0-2)

Chicago Bears are favored (-1.5) with an Over/Under of 49.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Caleb Williams has averaged 42.5 rushing yards over his first two games and now faces the Cowboys, who have allowed the 3rd-most rushing yards to QBs this season. Expect Williams to have a solid floor this week.

Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Arizona Cardinals (2-0) @ San Francisco 49ers (2-0)

San Francisco 49ers are favored (-1.5) with an Over/Under of 44.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Could this be the week Marvin Harrison Jr. finally gets going? Harrison has struggled with a .16 TPRR (targets per route run, 82nd among WRs), but he faces a 49ers defense that has allowed the 3rd-highest TPRR (.21). The matchup could give him the opportunity to see more volume.

Week 3 Team Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Sunday Night Football | 8:20 PM

Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) @ New York Giants (0-2)

Kansas City Chiefs are favored (-6.5) with an Over/Under of 44.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Patrick Mahomes has struggled in his last three Sunday Night Football games, staying under 210 passing yards in each. This week, however, he has a chance for redemption as he faces the Giants, who have allowed the 4th-most passing yards this season.

Team Stats | Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Player Stats Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits

Monday Night Football | 8:15 PM

Detroit Lions (1-1) @ Baltimore Ravens (1-1)

Baltimore Ravens are favored (-5.5) with an Over/Under of 51.5

Key Player Stat | Week 3

Derrick Henry will need to create after contact this week. His 4.14 YAC/attempt (yards after contact) leads all RBs, but he faces a stout Lions defense that ranks 6th-best, allowing just 1.79 YAC/attempt. Henry faces a tough Week 3 test where breaking tackles will be critical.

Week 3 Team Stats Fantasy Football Monday Night Quarterback Start/Sit Week 3 MNF Running Back Start/Sit Week 3 Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice Tight Ends Start/Sit Week 3 MNF

Fantasy Football Advanced Stats Glossary

This glossary explains every advanced stat used in The Full Slate Week 3 Start/Sit Preview. Each abbreviation includes a definition so you can make sharper lineup calls.

Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit | FAQ

What are the Week 3 Fantasy Football Start/Sit player stats?

The Week 3 Start/Sit player stats highlight advanced metrics like EXP RUN %, showing which RBs consistently produce explosive plays. These data points help identify breakout starters and potential sits.

How does EXP RUN % impact fantasy football start/sit decisions?

EXP RUN % shows the percentage of a running back’s carries gaining 15+ yards. Players like Kenneth Walker and Breece Hall have elite EXP RUN %, signaling upside for fantasy lineups.

Who are the best RB starts for Week 3 fantasy football?

RBs with strong EXP RUN % and favorable matchups, like Breece Hall, Travis Etienne, and Bijan Robinson, profile as high-upside Week 3 starts.

Which players are risky sits in Week 3?

RBs and WRs with low explosive-play rates or tough defensive matchups—such as Chuba Hubbard or Jaylen Waddle—carry higher risk as Week 3 starts.

How should I use advanced player stats for my Week 3 lineup decisions?

Combine advanced stats like EXP RUN % with matchup data, snap shares, and volume trends to decide which players offer the best floor and ceiling for Week 3.

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